Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Landslide

I have been predicting a landslide for many months now. Unfortunately I have not documented it here, but those of you to whom I have spoken will remember my saying that this election would result in a landslide. I am nervous about writing this here, fearing jinxing it, but I'd like to make it public now. It seems a little less risky to say it given the recent polling and the outcome of the first debate. So here goes nothing:

Obama will win in a landslide. He will win all of the expected states, and he will also win Ohio, Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, possibly West Virginia, Florida, Colorado, New Mexico, and there is some chance that he'll win Missouri.

So that's that. Blame me if it's jinxed.

Oh, and has anyone else wondered whether John McCain has had a stroke? He just seems incoherent and crazy. Perhaps that's how he has always been, but it seems like a bit of a personality change to me.

UPDATE. According to 270towin, my predicted outcome would result in a 375-163 electoral college win for Obama

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